crypto to currency, Knowledge

In April, October and November, the volume of transactions increased sharply, which was close to the volume of the bull market in 2015, indicating that a large number of off-exchange funds entered the market, and the volume increased in price, and then rose.3. From September to December, MACD crosses the 0 axis from underwater, which is a signal that the trend turns from weak to strong;Now the market pricing power is still in the hands of hot money+quantification+retail investors. Hot money pulls demon stocks, robots, AI and other themes every day, and it's fun to play; Quantifying the direction of pulling small-cap stocks and low-priced stocks every day also earns a lot of money. The institution is very embarrassed, and it is still in the negative cycle of locking up-redemption-selling to deal with redemption-continuing to lock up. Occasionally, one day, the institutions will explode and usher in a greater redemption. They can only continue to sell and bear the stigma of smashing the plate.

In a bull market, the market is full of liquidity and investors have a high risk appetite, and the stock price is generally higher than the intrinsic value. In a bear market, expectations are pessimistic and liquidity is exhausted, and the stock price is generally lower than the intrinsic value. Although the stock price will deviate from the intrinsic value most of the time, the stock price is infinitely close to the intrinsic value for a long time.The heavy meeting said to stabilize the stock market. Yesterday, the big A was really stable, and the index didn't rise much. However, more than 3,800 stocks rose, with the median price increase and decrease of +0.9%. Low prices, small and medium-sized microdisks, technology and consumption are still the mainstream!Ordinary retail investors want to make money in the stock market. To put it bluntly, it is time for space. Insist on buying high-quality assets in batches in the extremely undervalued range to ensure that the purchase cost is lower than the intrinsic value, then ignore short-term fluctuations and wait for the value to return until the stock price is significantly higher than the intrinsic value. After thinking about this, in fact, many seemingly complicated problems will be much simpler.

Therefore, in the near future, everyone should continue to avoid the big ticket of institutional+foreign heavy positions and let them play by themselves. Let's make a small U-turn. Now there are enough market themes. Just focus on one or two core optimistic directions (technology and consumption), and don't switch frequently. Grasp the rhythm and the probability of making money is still very high.2. The CPI of the United States in November was in line with expectations, and the interest rate cut was stable!Ordinary retail investors want to make money in the stock market. To put it bluntly, it is time for space. Insist on buying high-quality assets in batches in the extremely undervalued range to ensure that the purchase cost is lower than the intrinsic value, then ignore short-term fluctuations and wait for the value to return until the stock price is significantly higher than the intrinsic value. After thinking about this, in fact, many seemingly complicated problems will be much simpler.